Canada is Doomed (in Terms of Racial Demographics) Draft Version

Preface: I've been meaning to write an article like this for a long time, unfortunately I currently do not have the time, so you should consider this as a rough draft, that I may revise in the future. Still, I want to put the issue out there. Maybe submit it to AmRen?

Also, I've previously written a long account about life in Canada in an OP for Bond's now defunct channel years ago.  If I find another copy of it, I'll try to post it here.  This isn't meant to describe life there, just the demographic predicament. This is just the bare data, let me know if you think I should jazz it up a little to make it more interesting to read.

Canada is Doomed (in Terms of Racial Demographics)

by Independent Thinker 

Raceology September 2019



Photo by Vincent Albos from Pexels

    Demographic Changes Over the Recent Decades

      Anyone who's either lived in, or frequently visited Canada's major cities over the last 30 years or so, will be able to attest to the fact that the demography, especially in terms of race, has greatly changed since then. In Canada's largest and most 'multicultural' city Toronto, in 1996, 'visible minorities' which are all non-whites aside from 'First Nations' who are Metis (mixed white and Amerindian), Amerindians, and Inuit, made up 32% of the population of the city [1]. According to Canada's most recent census, 2016, they now comprise a whopping 51.5% of the total Toronto population! (Aboriginals comprise about 0.9% of Toronto's population). [2] In Canada's largest city whites are now a minority.

   The two other biggest immigrant cities are Montreal, and Vancouver.  In 1996, in Vancouver visible minorities accounted for 31% of its population [1], in 2016, they account for 48.8% plus 3.1% for the Aboriginal (Amerindian) population there.  This means that the white European population is just 49.3% [3], again a minority: a significant demographic change in only a matter of 20 years. Montreal, a bilingual city in the French speaking province of Quebec, had a 12% non-white population in 1996 [1].  In 2016 the visible minority population is 34.2, and the aboriginal is 2.5% [4], again there was a significant increase in only 20 years. 

   Although I had been aware of the dwindling numbers of whites in some of the major cities, I believed that perhaps it was mostly restricted to the largest, and most immigrant friendly, or historically immigrant cities and regions, and perhaps that it would level off at one point, but I was wrong. It really hit me a while ago when I compared the ethnic data for Canada's major cities based on census data between the years 2011, and 2016. At that time I was considering moving to one of the cities there in the Western provinces, but it hit me that the cities in question were not only significantly non-white but that their share of non-whites had increased significantly in just the prior five years.  What I'd realized is that in almost every major city in Canada between 2011 and 2016 the non-white population had increased from about 2 to over 10%! It had increased on average roughly between 0.5% to over 2% every year.  At that rate in only one generation the majority of Canada's major cities will become non-white, and Canada as a whole will become a white minority country.

Let's take a look at the stats, organized here in a table.  Please keep in mind that I didn't take population growth into consideration here, only the relative share of the population, and that these numbers are rough estimates, as on the census people could report more than one ethnicity; still by rounding off and estimating we can get a good idea of the relative population changes. 

City
Percentage non-white population 2011
Percentage non-white population 2016
Change in non-white percentage of the population
Toronto
49.8 [5]
52.4 [2]
+ 2.6
Montreal
34.2 [6]
36.7 [4]
+ 2.5 
Vancouver
47.5 [7]
53.9 [3]
+ 6.4
Calgary
32.8 [8]
42.4 [9]
+ 9.6
Ottawa
25.8 [10]
39.9 [11]
+ 14.1
Quebec City (ville de Quebec)
3.1  [12]
4.9  [13]
+ 1.8

Table 1. This table shows the percentages of the non-white populations in 6 major Canadian cities, for the years of 2011, and 2016, and the change in the percentage of population between those years. 

 Thus we can see a significant increase in the non-white population in all of the 6 largest cities in Canada by population. This ranges for a low of +1.8 % in the largely homogeneous Quebec city to a large increase of + 14.1 % for the capital city of Ottawa, over a five year period.


The Future Looks Gloomy:

Let us take a look at two cities with predicted populations in 2036, 20 years from when the last census was taken in 2016, Toronto, and Vancouver.

In Toronto the white population is predicted to decrease from 47.8% of the total, to 33.4%, a decline of – 14.4 %. In Vancouver the white population is predicted to decrease from 48.6% to 37.9%, a decline of 10.7 %.[14] It will mean that in a matter of 40 years, a little over one generation, the share of the population that was comprised of whites, and non-whites reversed in numbers.


Graph 1. This shows the percentage of the white population in two major Canadian cities, Toronto, and Vancouver, over a span of about 40 years. The population in 2036 is projected. 

In 2017, an article in the Vancouver Sun [15] featuring information gathered by Eric Kaufman, who is a professor at University of London, Birbeck, found that according to demographic projections, in less than 2 decades 7 in 10 Metro Vancouver residents will be non-white. A Statistics Canada report projected that based on current immigration practices Canada as a whole will "be almost 80 percent non-white in less than a century."  In 2016, when the latest census was taken whites made up about 80 percent of the population, if the prediction is correct then this will be a complete reversal of the white, non-white population proportions, in a relatively short time.

The cities that will have the highest levels of visible minorities by 2036 will be Greater Toronto, Metro Vancouver, Calgary, Abbotsford-Mission, Edmonton and Winnipeg.

The article mentioned that the areas that will be spared white minority status in British Columbia will be:


And as for the rest of Canada, a white majority will remain in: 
“… Quebec, the Maritimes and rural Canada.”

Another interesting excerpt of the article mentioned what race realists called "white flight", though Kaufmann preferred the term “white withdrawal”, to denote that the phenomenon isn’t fuelled by racism, rather an unconscious natural preference towards similar people.

“Minorities will move into relatively white areas, but whites generally do not move into strongly minority areas. Whites have, and will, tend to move toward relatively white areas,” said Kaufmann.

“White conservatives and liberals, racists and cosmopolitans, all move to relatively white areas at similar rates,”[my italics] they say in Changing Places, published by Demos, which describes itself as Britain’s “leading cross-party think-tank.”


The article goes on to say that:

Meanwhile, Canada is undergoing “the fastest rate of ethnic change of any country in the Western world,” Kaufmann said, describing how 300,000 immigrants are arriving each year in a country of 35 million people, with four in five of those immigrants being visible minorities.“The United States’ per capita immigration rate is only one-third to one-half as fast as Canada’s. … At the same time (U.S. President Donald) Trump has promised to reduce America’s inflows by half,” Kaufmann said. 

“Europe is also generally tightening inflows and only 300,000 non-Europeans enter the European Union, population 510 million, each year. Most immigrant-receiving Western European states will be at least three-quarters European origin in 2050.”

 Kaufmann concluded with the idea it’s reasonable to assume that by 2106 Canada will be 20 per cent white, 65 percent non-white, and 15 per cent mixed race.
 “Canada will probably become a ‘majority-minority’ country around 2060,”said Kaufmann.

A Dire Example to White Majority Nations in the Future
   Thus as the title stated Canada is doomed in terms of racial demographics; in a mere 40 years Canada will have lost its historic white majority, and will be a majority non-white nation. For some it was obvious 30 years ago, or even before then. It seems like all too many either denied it or were oblivious to it, it just wasn't something that was widely discussed. It seems from the impression one gets through the media, and at least my own general interactions with ordinary people, that a large portion of the Canadian public now seems to welcome their own displacement, with absolutely no sign of resistance whatsoever.  
   I have previously written negatively about the kinds of people, and the ideology, and dispositions of people in Canada before on social media, but with the looming demographic shift in mind I would go on to say, and thus add to my previous criticisms that it is perhaps the pre-eminent example of a white majority country that literally welcomed and celebrated its own demise. As it stands now it is continuing the pattern of white flight, until the white population decreases to relative insignificance. Canada will probably be the first white majority country that becomes almost completely non-white without any war, and without any real political resistance. 

An article from The Globe and Mail, considered a conservative Canadian publication, by John Ibbitson [16] seems to encapsulate the kind of attitude a large number of Canadians have on this issue. After explaining the issue of the demographic shift he states:

"The fact that this country has deliberately transformed the makeup of its population in a way no other country has managed, or even attempted, speaks to the tolerant, diverse society in which we live. Multiculturalism works and Canada is proof."

I think if there ever was a good response to the last statement, it was Jared Taylor's debate against Peter March in Canada. The last statement isn't really more true of Canada than other countries with large multi-racial populations, aside from the lack of historical tensions and grievances as with other states. He concludes with the complacent:

"If you're grinding your teeth at this, if you long for the Canada that was, it's easy to understand your frustration. That Canada has gone away. By 2036 it will be barely a memory."



       Although I don't particularly take pleasure in kicking a man, or should I say a country in this case, when it's down, I can't help but think how pathetic this state of affairs is. Hopefully this is not the state of affairs that will ensue in all other European majority states, though for many Western nations a similar fate appears to loom in the future.  I ask myself if I should really care? 

     When I consider the variegated multitude of people in Canada from what I'd consider good to bad in my value system, it puts me in a dilemma. As an individual I look at my personal experiences to make this judgement, as most people would. Most human beings have a negativity bias, and I am no exception. Thus when I look through my experiences the negative ones come first. When I consider all of the people that I've encountered in Canada that were rude, lacking empathy, doing harmful things to their fellow men, making their living (in a way) off of the destruction of others, those that were arrogant, especially with unrealistic self-assessments of worth, false valuations of achievement, and the large amount of individuals that I've had to deal with that were deluded with false sociological, and psychological ideas of human nature and behaviour, my sense of pity diminishes. When I further consider the violent criminals, and criminaloids in the economy, and the various white Canadians who are far worse in their general disposition than many of the non-white immigrants that come to Canada, my sense of pity for the Canadian plight diminishes even more greatly. When I also consider some of the older whites that I've dealt with, that are 'established' who fit the aforementioned description in some ways, again my sense or pity for the state of affairs wanes further. For example, the people with small time government jobs, liberal politicians, the 'artists', university administrators, social workers, people who work in the horrible so-called "mental health field", high-school liberal teachers who indoctrinate their students with racial equalitarian ideas, and such; those that have amassed relative stability and power throughout their life despite mendacity, mental incompetence, mediocrity, and possibly criminaloid tendencies. It's hard to describe so many of the people that come to mind in so few words, the type of distasteful people I've met in my years and had to deal with, let's put it that way ... when I think of them as representatives of Canada, I admit I really feel no pity at all. Perhaps, an average person may think this way as well, and so wouldn't care one way or the other about the racial demographics all that much. After all since we tend to deal more with people of our own race, we're more likely to have the most negative experiences with people of our own race. 

 However, I have to think objectively and not let negative experiences cloud the big picture, and the same principle should be adopted by others when they make a judgement.  What and whom I do pity are all of the good, honest, open-minded, intellectually curious, genuinely kind, and fair white Canadians. Honestly, I feel compassion and respect for the ordinary Joe in the street, if he's half-decent, and can comport himself with respect towards others; there's no need to be a paragon of virtue nor for one's views to be the same as mine. Despite what I said above, I believe these do constitute a sizeable portion of white Canadians. The people who've mostly built Canada and made it into the successful first world nation that it is today, an outpost of Western civilization. In a sense these are the carriers of Western civilization, and thus carry with them the traits that make Western civilization possible, the traits that I value. For all of these people not only is life made difficult by living with and having to deal with the distasteful people I'm thinking of and trying to describe, but their whole world, their way of life, and communities will change in ways that will make them ethnic and cultural minorities in their own nations, making it just that much more challenging for them to thrive.

  Sure, lot's of non-whites are good, honest, hard-working, and reasonable people, but when they arrive in large numbers and form ethnic enclaves they can change the face of society in ways that are deleterious for the white majority. The traditions and values that the white majority had will slowly be erased, to be supplanted by the traditions and values of the incoming racial groups. The holidays, the literature, the music, the values, the behaviour, all of these things will change. The history will be re-written, and as is often the case whites will become more and more vilified, as is happening in the United States. Non-whites will want to read about and look up to people who look like themselves, which is a natural aspect of human psychology. Non-whites frequently are beneficiaries of special treatment akin to affirmative action in the United States, and whites are increasingly left out of the racial spoils system. They are also accused of benefitting from so-called 'white privilege'. And of course, the elephant in the room that is race differences in intelligence, and crime rates. These will adversely affect Canada's economy and quality of life. Once again I'd direct readers to listen to, or view Jared Taylor's debate with Peter March in Canada for the problems that racial and ethnic diversity mean for Canada. 


And worse, this state of political affairs creates an example for other white majority countries. Given the general political outlook around the 'Western' world, it seems to be one that many countries want to emulate rather than avoid. It is reasonable to assume that any country that is as “politically correct”, and egalitarian, especially in terms of race, and so open to immigration, is doomed to suffer the same fate, as Canada is and will continue to undergo in the near future. I hope that parts of America and Europe will take steps not to suffer the same fate. The recent years have given me some hope. 

REFERENCES

[1] Statistics Canada. (1996). 1996 Census: Ethnic origin, visible minorities. 
Retrieved from September 19. 2019 from Statistics Canada: 

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/980217/dq980217-eng.htm
[2] Statistics Canada. (2016)Census Profile 2016 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMACA&Code1=535&Geo2=PR&Code2=35&Data=Count&SearchText=toronto&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=Ethnic%20origin&TABID=1
[3] Statistics Canada. (2016)Census Profile 2016 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMACA&Code1=933&Geo2=PR&Code2=59&Data=Count&SearchText=vancouver&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1
[4]  Statistics Canada. (2016)Census Profile 2016 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMACA&Code1=462&Geo2=PR&Code2=24&SearchText=Montreal&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1&type=0
[6] (Montreal 2011 demographics) Statistics Canada. (2011). Census Profile 2011 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/Page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CSD&Code1=2466023&Data=Count&SearchText=Montréal&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&GeoLevel=PR&GeoCode=10#tabs1
[7] (Vancouver 2011 demographics) Statistics Canada. (2011). Census Profile 2011 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/as-sa/fogs-spg/Pages/FOG.cfm?lang=E&level=3&GeoCode=933
[8] (Calgary 2011 demographics) Statistics Canada. (2011). Census Profile 2011 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMA&Code1=825&Data=Count&SearchText=calgary&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1
[9] Statistics Canada. (2011). Census Profile 2011 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMACA&Code1=825&Geo2=PR&Code2=48&Data=Count&SearchText=Calgary&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1
[10] (Ottawa 2011 demographics) Statistics Canada. (2011). Census Profile 2011 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMA&Code1=505&Data=Count&SearchText=Ottawa&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1

[12] (Quebec city 2011 demographics) Statistics Canada. (2011). Census Profile 2011 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMA&Code1=421&Data=Count&SearchText=quebec&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1

[13] Statistics Canada. (2016)Census Profile 2016 Census. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CMACA&Code1=421&Geo2=PR&Code2=24&SearchText=Quebec&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1&type=0

 [14] Demosim team. Jean-Dominique MorencyÉric Caron Malenfant and Samuel MacIsaac. January 25, 2017. Immigration and Diversity: Population Projections for Canada and its Regions, 2011 to 2036. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Statistics Canada:

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/91-551-x/91-551-x2017001-eng.htm

 [15]  Douglas Todd: Almost 7 in 10 Metro residents will be non-white in two decades. The Vancouver Sun. June 2017.Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Vancouver Sun website:

https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/douglas-todd-almost-7-in-10-metro-residents-will-be-non-white-in-two-decades

[16] John Ibbitson. Globe and Mail. The Politics of 2036 when Canada is as Brown as it is White. January 27, 2017. Updated April 14, 2017. Retrieved September 19, 2019 from Globe and Mail website:

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/the-politics-of-2036-when-canada-is-as-brown-as-it-is-white/article33814437/

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Ole Blue eyes.

What happens on America's Subways - Wild Assaults and Murders - Typically Featuring one Demographic

Site Aims and Rules