What will the United States be like one hundred years from now?

Posted by John Engelman Raceology January 2, 2020


Predicting the future is always risky. One either predicts a future one wants, or one projects current trends into the future. I do not believe that the millennium will have arrived one hundred years from now. There will still be poverty, disease, famines, war and crime. Because of the growth of the human population and environmental problems, especially global warming, these are likely to become worse.

Computer technology increases the relationship between intelligence and income. A growing percentage of America’s and the world population will be unable to do anything useful for a living.

If political polarization in the United States continues to increase, the United States will have divided into two or more different countries. Because there is no longer a moral issue as overriding as ending slavery, I hope the division will be peaceful.

I expect China to achieve world hegemony by the end of this century, if not sooner. Because history is moving in China’s direction I hope the Chinese are not tempted to hasten the process with military aggression. I hope the United States is not tempted to use military force to try to halt the rise of China. I also hope that the Chinese will have adopted a democratic government and a non coercive way to control population growth.


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